enthalpy

enthalpy

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The truth shall set you free, but first it's going to piss you off

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Friday, April 17, 2009

Posted 4/17/2009 05:41:00 PM by Douglas

Even before hurricane season aught nine is officially here, predictors can't wait to tell us how good they're going to do, based mainly on what a great job they did last year.

By steadily improving their forecasts and setting high expectations, hurricane scientists may be getting too good for their own good.

As Hurricane Ike crossed Cuba and approached the Texas coast, forecasts provided by the National Hurricane Center proved to be more accurate than the average set during the last five years.

Yet upon returning to Texas, the center’s director, Bill Read, says he hears all the time that Ike was a bad forecast.

Well, yes and no. Let's pour a ton of money into 'predictions' and see where they're going, so we can rely on ineffectual local leaders to fuck people out of their lives and their property. Yay! But big picture here:

“That storm sure did a dance before it came ashore,” Gov. Rick Perry said.

Well no shit. They all do. Check this out, for example. Do anyone honestly think any computer model could have predicted that path? Get real, they're just pissing into the wind.

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