Posted 8/12/2009 06:46:00 PM by Douglas

And now from the bureau of pulling things out of our butts, let's here it for "this is the worst time for hurricanes in 1,000 years."

Atlantic hurricanes have developed more frequently during the last decade than at any point in at least 1,000 years, a new analysis of historical storm activity suggests.

The new study, being published Thursday in Nature, attempts to reconstruct Atlantic hurricane activity back to the year A.D. 500. In doing so the authors found one era, a medieval period around A.D. 1000, when storm activity matched or exceeded recent hurricane seasons that included storms such as Katrina and Rita.

What does the NHC think about this?

“The paper comes to very erroneous conclusions because of using improper data and illogical techniques,” said Chris Landsea, science and operations officer at the National Hurricane Center.

In his criticism, Landsea notes that the paper begins by saying that Atlantic tropical activity has “reached anomalous levels over the past decade.”

“This isn't a small quibble,” he said. “It's the difference between a massive trend with doubling in the last 100 years, versus no trend.”

Don't confuse them with facts. They have converging models, and they got published. None of the hot-heads that are going to cite this study in order to justify CO₂ based global warming are going to read past the executive summary, anyway.

Labels: global warming